Monday 1 November 2010

How to make money by trading tennis matches

This system exploits the fluctuations in price that occur during a tennis match. There are three things which will have a big impact on the price of the two players.

1. Break points, or even more of an impact from a confirmed break

2. Winning a set

3. Any sign of a player being injured and liable to retire

The price fluctuations are to my eyes out of proportion compared to the actual chances of a player eventually winning or losing the game, and this is where the system comes into its own.

The rules of the system are as follows:

1. Only bet in mens games run by the ATP, where there is in-play betting offered by Betfair. These are easy to find just go into the tennis section of the Betfair site, click on the coupons tab, and then click on 'Today's in-play tab').

2. Only bet in matches where the price of the favourite is between 1.20 and 1.50, if there are many matches in a day that fit the bill then tighten this to 1.30-1.40.

3. You have to be able to put a bet on the underdog when the match goes in-play so make a note of the start time of the match on the 'Rules' tab for the match. CAUTION - Matches quite often do not start at the stated time, they could get delayed by weather or a previous match overrunning, so you have to be flexible enough to be able to check regularly when the match is likely to start. You can get a clue by studying the order of play and live scores.

4. Before the start of play you need to check the prices offered by all your active bookmakers by using. You select the book offering the best price for the favourite. You then use my trading spreadsheet to calculate your stakes. Enter the odds for the favourite into cell i6, then calculate your required stake for the underdog, by putting odds into cell h6, gradually altering them until the net profit shown in cell k10 is 15% (or just over).

5. So now you place your bet on the favourite with the chosen book (which could be Betfair, or any other of your active books), this can be done several hours before the match starts. Then when the game goes in-play you place your bet on the underdog at the calculated trading odds.
http://www.puntersrealm.com/?module=displaystory&story_id=722&format=html

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